Vegetation projections for Wind Cave National Park with three future climate scenarios: Final report in completion of Task Agreement J8W07100052
King DA, Bachelet DM, Symstad AJ. 2013. Vegetation projections for Wind Cave National Park with three future climate scenarios: Final report in completion of Task Agreement J8W07100052. Natural Resource Technical Report. NPS/WICA/NRTR—2013/681. National Park Service. Fort Collins, Colorado
This report documents the results of simulation models run using MC1, a dynamic global vegetation model, for Wind Cave National Park in the context of climate change. The model was used to simulate production of plant growth forms (C3 or C4 grass, deciduous broadleaf tree, evergreen needleaf tree, etc.), vegetation types (C3 grassland, evergreen needleaf woodland, etc.), fire frequency, and fire danger for three future climate scenarios (CSIRO = warm and wet; Hadley = hot; MIROC = hot and dry) and a variety of fire and grazing scenarios. Resource management implications are discussed.
- Type
- Published Report
- Authors
- King, David; Bachelet, Dominique; Symstad, Amy
- Date of Issue
- 2013-01
- Publisher
- National Park Service
- Units
- NRSS , WICA
- Keywords
- Climate Change, FIRE, Grazing, mixed-grass prairie, Northern Great Plains, prairie-forest border
- Subjects
- Ecological Framework: Biological Integrity | Focal Species or Communities | Grassland/Herbaceous Communities , Ecological Framework: Biological Integrity | Focal Species or Communities | Forest/Woodland Communities