Spatial Decision Support for Assessing Impacts of Atmospheric Sulfur Deposition on Aquatic Ecosystems in the Southern Appalachian Region

Reynolds KM, Hessburg PF, Sullivan T, Povak N, McDonnell T, Cosby B, Jackson W. 2012. Spatial Decision Support for Assessing Impacts of Atmospheric Sulfur Deposition on Aquatic Ecosystems in the Southern Appalachian Region. Pages 1197-1206. In 45th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. IEEE Computer Society

We present foundational work on the use of niche modeling to predict continuous surfaces of acid neutralizing capacity (ANC) and base cation weathering (BCw) within the southern Appalachian Mountain Region of the United States. Predicted ANC and BCw surfaces are subsequently used to estimate steady-state critical loads (CLs) of atmospheric sulfur deposition. We then present a logic-based model for assessing aquatic environmental effects of sulfur deposition throughout the region based on modeled stream ANC and CL exceedance, and demonstrate application of the logic model in a spatial decisionsupport system, presenting mapped model results for Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Whereas CLs were uniformly high within the Park area, degree of aquatic impact within watersheds was strongly associated with increasing elevation. The niche and spatial decision support modeling approaches are readily customized for other regions of interest.

Type
Conference Proceeding Paper
Authors
Reynolds, Keith; Hessburg, Paul; Sullivan, Timmothy; Povak, Nicholas; McDonnell, Todd; Cosby, Bernard; Jackson, William
Units
GRSM
Keywords
Acid Neutralizing Capacity, Modeling, Niche modeling, southern Appalachian mountains, spatial decision support modeling, sulfur deposition
Subjects
Ecological Framework: Air and Climate | Air Quality | Wet and Dry Deposition

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