Overabundant deer and invasive plants drive widespread regeneration debt in eastern United States national parks

Miller KM, Perles SJ, Schmit J, Matthews ER, Weed AS, Comiskey JA, Marshall MR, Nelson P, Fisichelli NA. 2023. Overabundant deer and invasive plants drive widespread regeneration debt in eastern United States national parks. Ecological Applications e2837

Advanced regeneration, in the form of tree seedlings and saplings, is critical for ensuring the long-term viability and resilience of forest ecosystems in the eastern United States. Lack of regeneration and/or compositional mismatch between regeneration and canopy layers, called regeneration debt, can lead to shifts in forest composition, structure, and, in extreme cases, forest loss. In this study, we examined status and trends in regeneration across 39 national parks from Virginia to Maine, spanning 12 years to apply the regeneration debt concept. We further refined the concept by adding new metrics and classifying results into easily interpreted categories adapted from the literature: imminent failure, probable failure, insecure, and secure. We then used model selection to determine the potential drivers most influencing patterns of regeneration debt. Status and trends indicated widespread regeneration debt in eastern national parks, with 27 of 39 parks classified as imminent or probable failure. Deer browse impact was consistently the strongest predictor of regeneration abundance. The most pervasive component of regeneration debt observed across parks was a sapling bottleneck, characterized by critically low sapling density of native canopy species and significant declines in native canopy sap-ling basal area or density for most parks. Regeneration mismatches also threaten forest resilience in many parks, where native canopy seedlings and saplings were outnumbered by native subcanopy species, particularly species that are less palatable deer browse.

Type
Journal Article
Authors
Miller, Kathryn; Perles, Stephanie; Schmit, John Paul; Matthews, Elizabeth; Weed, Aaron; Comiskey, James; Marshall, Matthew; Nelson, Peter; Fisichelli, Nicholas
Units
ACAD , ALPO , ANAC , ANTI , APCO , APPA , BAWA , BLUE , BOHA , BOWA , CATO , CHOH , DEWA , EISE , ELRO , ERMN , FONE , FOWA , FRHI , FRSP , GARI , GETT , GREE , GWMP , HAFE , HOFR , HOFU , JOFL , MABI , MANA , MIDN , MIMA , MONO , MORR , NACE , NCRN , NERI , NETN , PETE , PISC , PRWI , RICH , ROCR , ROVA , SAGA , SAIR , SARA , SHEN , UPDE , VAFO , VAMA , WEFA , WOTR
Keywords
deer, forest monitor, invasive plants, monitoring, x#forestHealth, x#JournalArticle, x#NETN, x#outreach
Subjects
Ecological Framework: Biological Integrity | Invasive Species | Invasive/Exotic plants , Ecological Framework: Biological Integrity | Focal Species or Communities | Forest/Woodland Communities

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