Future Climate change Scenarios for Big Bend National Park, Texas
Herbert J. 2006. Future Climate change Scenarios for Big Bend National Park, Texas. Southwestern Geographer. Vol. 10, pp 36-51. Southwestern Division of the Association of American Geographers
Big Bend National Park, Texas, is one of the largest but least visited National Parks in the U.S. This study assesses the impact of global cimate change on the park, using a statistical downscaling technique to produce future climate change predictions at weather stations in the park, based on the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community System Climate Model. Temperature predictions for 2000-2099 for low, medium, and high greenhouse gas emission scenarios are presented. Results suggest that the park will warm in line with the global average, between 1 and 4C, but that the seasonal temperature range will decrease by as much as 2C, and the geographic temperature range increase by as much as 1C.
- Type
- Published Report
- Authors
- Herbert, Jonathan
- Date of Issue
- 2006
- Publisher
- Southwestern Division of the Association of American Geographers
- Units
- BIBE
- Keywords
- Atmospheric Sciences, Climate Change, climate modelling, Climatology, downscaling, Weather